Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 1-2
RC Deportivo vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
DEP
0 - 1
RSO
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
FCB
3 - 2
DEP
73%
17%
11%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
OSA
1 - 2
DEP
39%
27%
34%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
DEP
1 - 1
ZAR
51%
25%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
BET
0 - 1
DEP
38%
27%
35%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
ESP
2 - 0
CEL
51%
25%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
CAD
2 - 0
ESP
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ESP
5 - 0
SEV
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
ESP
0 - 3
S04
46%
26%
29%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
VIL
4 - 0
ESP
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |