Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-1
RC Deportivo vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
DEP
1 - 1
RAC
72%
17%
11%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
ATM
0 - 0
DEP
32%
26%
43%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
CEL
0 - 5
DEP
37%
26%
38%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
DEP
2 - 1
ESP
74%
17%
10%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
GIM
1 - 2
DEP
11%
22%
67%
|
91 | 51 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ATM
3 - 0
ATH
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
ATM
0 - 0
DEP
32%
26%
43%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
ZAR
0 - 0
ATM
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
ATM
2 - 2
RAC
58%
23%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
CUL
0 - 1
ATM
15%
22%
63%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |