Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-2
RC Deportivo vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
4.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
DEP
0 - 2
MAL
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
ATB
2 - 2
DEP
50%
25%
24%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
ARO
1 - 1
DEP
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
DEP
1 - 1
CEL
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
DEP
0 - 0
ALM
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
LEM
1 - 2
ARO
31%
30%
39%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
ARO
2 - 0
CAM
79%
14%
6%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
ARO
1 - 1
DEP
27%
26%
47%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
MAR
0 - 2
ARO
37%
28%
35%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
ARO
1 - 1
PON
45%
26%
28%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |