Walter Ferretti vs UNAN Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
5º
9º
5º
8
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
14 | 17 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 16 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 14 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 7 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 2
EST
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 0
WAL
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
DIR
3 - 0
WAL
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 2
DIR
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
WAL
6 - 0
DEC
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 8 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DIR
4 - 0
UNA
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
UNA
3 - 1
JAP
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
UNA
1 - 3
DIR
26%
23%
51%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
UNA
6 - 3
CDS
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 1
UNA
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |