Walter Ferretti vs Real Madriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
WAL
2 - 0
UNA
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
MOT
2 - 0
WAL
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
AME
1 - 0
WAL
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 0
JUV
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
WAL
0 - 0
DIR
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
REA
1 - 0
MAN
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
7 - 0
REA
54%
22%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
REA
0 - 4
DIR
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
REA
0 - 1
WAL
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
REA
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |