Walter Ferretti vs Real Madriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
WAL
2 - 1
EST
49%
28%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FVI
0 - 4
WAL
16%
25%
58%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 0
DIR
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 2
WAL
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 0
DEP
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
DIR
3 - 0
REA
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
REA
2 - 2
FVI
70%
17%
12%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
REA
66%
20%
13%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
REA
0 - 0
UNA
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
JAP
1 - 1
REA
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |