Walter Ferretti vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
UNA
1 - 1
WAL
38%
27%
34%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
WAL
2 - 1
DIR
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
EST
2 - 0
WAL
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
WAL
3 - 2
UNA
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
WAL
2 - 0
DIR
51%
26%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
DIR
1 - 2
EST
29%
28%
44%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
UNA
1 - 1
EST
33%
28%
40%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
EST
2 - 0
WAL
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
DIR
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
EST
3 - 0
REA
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |