Walter Ferretti vs Rancho Santana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+569%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
9º
4º
12
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 1
DEP
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 0
WAL
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
WAL
0 - 2
DIR
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
UNA
1 - 0
WAL
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
WAL
63%
22%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rancho Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
DEP
15%
20%
65%
|
12 | 51 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
RSA
2 - 3
UNA
15%
20%
65%
|
12 | 54 | 42 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
RSA
72%
18%
10%
|
12 | 61 | 49 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 0
RSA
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 66 | 54 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
RSA
2 - 1
JAP
15%
21%
64%
|
11 | 53 | 42 | +1 |