Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
WAL
2 - 0
DIR
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
WAL
2 - 2
DEP
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 3
WAL
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
WAL
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 2
JAP
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
EST
25%
26%
48%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 0
MAN
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
UNA
3 - 1
MFC
41%
25%
35%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
WAL
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 1
MFC
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |