Walter Ferretti vs Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
WAL
1 - 0
JUV
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
WAL
1 - 2
JUV
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
REA
1 - 2
WAL
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
WAL
2 - 1
JAP
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
EST
0 - 0
WAL
70%
19%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 1
UNA
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 0
EST
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
EST
0 - 0
MAN
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 0
DIR
65%
20%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
DIR
1 - 2
MAN
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |