Apertura Nicaragua Final
Global 1-1
Walter Ferretti vs Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
WAL
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
WAL
1 - 0
DIR
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
DIR
1 - 0
WAL
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
WAL
0 - 1
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -3 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
EST
1 - 0
WAL
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
WAL
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
EST
1 - 2
MAN
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 1
EST
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 0
JUV
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
WAL
0 - 1
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |