Walter Ferretti vs Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
4 - 0
WAL
21%
25%
55%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
JAP
0 - 3
WAL
20%
27%
53%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
WAL
2 - 0
JAP
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 5
WAL
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
REA
0 - 2
WAL
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
EST
4 - 1
MAN
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
6 - 2
DEP
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 5
WAL
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
JAP
1 - 1
MAN
37%
30%
33%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
UNA
1 - 1
MAN
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |