Walter Ferretti vs FC San Marcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
14.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
REA
0 - 2
WAL
16%
24%
60%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 1
JAP
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
WAL
2 - 1
CFC
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 4
WAL
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 0
EST
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC San Marcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 1
MAN
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 0
FCS
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FCS
5 - 0
REA
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
JAP
2 - 1
FCS
56%
25%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 3
CFC
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -2 |