Walter Ferretti vs CD Ocotal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
10º
15
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 0
WAL
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 0
WAL
12%
21%
67%
|
63 | 15 | 48 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 0
WAL
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 0
UNA
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 3
CDS
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 3
JAP
35%
28%
38%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 2
DEP
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
UNA
3 - 2
DEP
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
ORM
80%
15%
6%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | 0 |