Walter Ferretti vs CD Ocotal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 3
AME
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
WAL
2 - 1
REA
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
WAL
2 - 0
UNA
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
MOT
2 - 0
WAL
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
AME
1 - 0
WAL
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
MAN
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 0
DEP
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 1
DIR
29%
28%
43%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CFC
2 - 1
DEP
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 3
EST
33%
28%
38%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |