Walter Ferretti vs CD Ocotal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 0
MAN
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 4
WAL
27%
27%
47%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
WAL
5 - 0
REA
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
JAP
1 - 2
WAL
28%
28%
45%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CFC
0 - 3
WAL
20%
25%
56%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 1
CFC
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 1
DEP
65%
20%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 1
JUV
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FCS
3 - 1
DEP
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
DEP
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |