Walter Ferretti vs ART Jalapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
9º
5º
25
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 0
WAL
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
WAL
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 1
DEP
57%
21%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 0
WAL
19%
23%
59%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -3 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
WAL
22%
26%
53%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ART Jalapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
JAP
2 - 0
EST
14%
24%
62%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 2
CDS
33%
27%
41%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
CDS
3 - 0
JAP
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DIR
1 - 0
JAP
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 1
JAP
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |