Walter Ferretti vs ART Jalapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
10º
22
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
5 - 1
WAL
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 1
WAL
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 2
DEP
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 0
WAL
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 0
WAL
12%
21%
67%
|
64 | 15 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
ART Jalapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
2 - 0
EST
13%
24%
64%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
1 - 1
CDS
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
0 - 3
DIR
14%
24%
63%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
0 - 0
UNA
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 3
JAP
35%
28%
38%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |