Torneo Regional Federal Amateur 1/16
Global 4-2
Deportivo Villalonga vs Defensores De La Ribera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Villalonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
JAD
1 - 3
VIL
33%
22%
46%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
DRO
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
VIL
11%
16%
73%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
JAD
60%
19%
20%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DRO
1 - 1
VIL
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Defensores De La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
INT
0 - 1
DDR
11%
16%
73%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DDR
1 - 0
MOR
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
DDR
2 - 1
INT
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 8 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 0
DDR
49%
21%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
PAT
3 - 1
DDR
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |