Deportivo Tepic vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ZAC
2 - 0
TEP
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
ALT
0 - 1
TEP
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TEP
3 - 1
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
DOR
3 - 1
TEP
57%
25%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
NEC
2 - 1
TEP
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
3 - 1
ALT
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DOR
2 - 1
ALE
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 1
LOB
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
NEC
2 - 1
ALE
41%
29%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 2
CAÑ
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |