Deportivo Tepic vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
TEP
3 - 1
CHI
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
MER
2 - 3
TEP
63%
23%
14%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
TEP
2 - 1
UAT
23%
28%
49%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 1
TEP
72%
19%
10%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
IRA
0 - 0
TEP
51%
27%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
UAT
1 - 0
NEC
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
NEC
1 - 1
MOR
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
NEC
2 - 0
CAÑ
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 1
NEC
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ZAC
2 - 0
NEC
43%
28%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |