Deportivo Tepic vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
LOB
2 - 2
TEP
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
TEP
2 - 2
TIJ
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
TEP
2 - 1
ATL
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
NEC
0 - 0
TEP
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
TIJ
3 - 2
TEP
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NEC
2 - 1
DOR
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 1
UDG
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LOB
4 - 2
NEC
46%
26%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
NEC
0 - 0
TEP
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
UDG
2 - 0
NEC
39%
27%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |