Deportivo Tepic vs Cafetaleros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
UAT
3 - 1
TEP
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TEP
2 - 1
CAÑ
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
TEP
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TEP
3 - 1
AUR
51%
26%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
JUA
1 - 2
TEP
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAF
1 - 1
ZAC
41%
23%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
ZAC
2 - 1
CAF
55%
22%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
CAF
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAF
3 - 1
ALE
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 0
CAF
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |