Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 1-2
Deportivo Táchira vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TAC
1 - 1
CFC
58%
25%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 2
TAC
16%
24%
60%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TAC
1 - 0
MIN
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
4 - 0
TAC
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TAC
1 - 1
POR
78%
16%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PUM
3 - 1
TIJ
57%
22%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 2
PUM
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
EME
2 - 3
PUM
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
PUM
1 - 2
LEO
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
PUM
4 - 1
OLI
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |