Deportivo Táchira vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1987 |
TAC
0 - 0
CEN
33%
25%
43%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1987 |
TAC
3 - 2
IND
17%
21%
62%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
BLO
6 - 3
TAC
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1985 |
OPE
3 - 2
TAC
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
MIR
1 - 3
TAC
56%
21%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1987 |
EST
0 - 1
IND
17%
21%
63%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1987 |
EST
0 - 3
CEN
32%
24%
44%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1982 |
TOL
1 - 0
EST
76%
15%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
NAC
2 - 0
EST
68%
17%
14%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
EST
1 - 0
TAC
49%
22%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |