Deportivo Táchira vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
TAC
20%
26%
54%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TAC
7 - 0
MIR
77%
17%
7%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 2
TAC
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TAC
5 - 0
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
POR
1 - 3
TAC
16%
25%
60%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ESC
0 - 0
DEP
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ESC
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ESC
0 - 0
CFC
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 1
ESC
31%
29%
41%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ESC
1 - 1
LLA
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |