Apertura Venezuela Quarter-finals
Global 4-5
Deportivo Táchira vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
DEP
3 - 2
TAC
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
ZUL
2 - 0
TAC
44%
26%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
TAC
2 - 4
MIN
65%
21%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MET
0 - 1
TAC
16%
25%
60%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
TAC
0 - 0
ZAM
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
DEP
3 - 2
TAC
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ANZ
2 - 0
DEP
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 1
POR
67%
22%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
ZUL
1 - 3
DEP
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ARA
2 - 1
DEP
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |