Deportivo Táchira vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
TAC
1 - 1
BSC
49%
22%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
CRI
2 - 0
TAC
21%
21%
59%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
67%
18%
15%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
TOL
2 - 2
TAC
71%
16%
13%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
EST
1 - 0
TAC
49%
22%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
NAC
3 - 1
BSC
55%
21%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
NAC
0 - 2
PEÑ
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1979 |
NAC
1 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
TEC
2 - 2
NAC
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1979 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
NAC
78%
13%
8%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |