Deportivo Saprissa vs Santos de Guápiles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
10º
2º
21
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
SAP
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SAP
3 - 0
LDA
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CSC
2 - 1
SAP
39%
26%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
SAP
1 - 0
SPO
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAP
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santos de Guápiles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
CSC
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PFC
3 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 0
GUA
23%
26%
51%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
PER
3 - 1
SAN
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |