Costa Rica Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Deportivo Saprissa vs Santos de Guápiles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
SAP
2 - 0
CSU
89%
8%
3%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CSU
0 - 4
SAP
10%
18%
72%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CSH
1 - 0
SAP
41%
28%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
SAP
2 - 0
CSH
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CSH
0 - 1
SAP
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santos de Guápiles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 1
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 1
SAN
44%
23%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PFC
2 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
PER
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CSC
1 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |