Clausura Costa Rica Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Deportivo Saprissa vs Santos de Guápiles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAP
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
SAP
2 - 1
RSL
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAP
0 - 0
CSC
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 3
SAP
21%
25%
55%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
SAP
1 - 0
PER
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Santos de Guápiles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAP
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
ORI
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
LDA
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CSH
2 - 0
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |