Deportivo Saprissa vs Puntarenas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
9º
2º
11
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 39 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 38 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 37 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 35 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 30 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 28 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 28 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
11 | 28 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 26 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 25 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 14 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
68.5% | 16% |
|
Mid-table
|
31.5% | 84% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAP
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MUN
2 - 3
SAP
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
SAP
1 - 0
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CSH
3 - 1
SAP
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
SAP
0 - 0
PER
72%
17%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Puntarenas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
PFC
2 - 1
PER
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 1
PFC
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PFC
2 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 2
PFC
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PFC
1 - 1
CSH
28%
28%
45%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |