Deportivo Saprissa vs Guanacasteca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
3º
10º
2º
11
8º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
18 | 42 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 41 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 41 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 37 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 35 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 32 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 29 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 21 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 18 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 15 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
12º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
80% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 90.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 1
SAP
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SAP
1 - 1
CSH
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
SAP
3 - 0
LDA
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
LDA
1 - 0
SAP
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SAP
4 - 0
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 3
SAN
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LDA
5 - 0
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
GUA
4 - 0
PER
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
GUA
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
SAP
4 - 1
GUA
63%
21%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |