Deportivo Saprissa vs Guanacasteca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
6º
1º
37
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
SAP
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
SAP
2 - 0
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SAP
7 - 0
GRE
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PER
2 - 2
SAP
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SAP
2 - 0
MUN
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
CSC
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 2
LDA
23%
27%
51%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MUN
0 - 1
GUA
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
GUA
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
PER
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |