Costa Rica Cup Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Deportivo Saprissa vs CS Cartaginés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAP
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
SAP
3 - 0
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
SAP
2 - 0
CSU
89%
8%
3%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CSU
0 - 4
SAP
10%
18%
72%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CSH
1 - 0
SAP
41%
28%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CS Cartaginés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CSC
2 - 1
SPO
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
CSC
42%
23%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
CSC
1 - 0
TUR
87%
10%
3%
|
67 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 1
CSC
5%
11%
84%
|
67 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
CSC
15%
22%
63%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |