Clausura Costa Rica Gran Final Final
Global 3-2
Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
LDA
1 - 0
SAP
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
SAP
1 - 0
LDA
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
LDA
3 - 0
SAP
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
SAP
2 - 0
CSH
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
CSH
1 - 2
SAP
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
LDA
1 - 0
SAP
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
SAP
1 - 0
LDA
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
LDA
3 - 0
SAP
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LDA
3 - 0
CSC
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
CSC
2 - 2
LDA
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |