Apertura Costa Rica Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LDA
0 - 0
SAP
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAP
28%
27%
46%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
SAP
1 - 0
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
SAP
2 - 1
SPO
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAP
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
LDA
2 - 2
RES
49%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LDA
0 - 0
SAP
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
RES
0 - 3
LDA
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LDA
4 - 3
GRE
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
CSC
1 - 2
LDA
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |