Dep. Santamarina vs Unión Mar del Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
RSA
1 - 1
DES
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
GIM
0 - 2
RSA
35%
29%
37%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
RSA
1 - 0
RAO
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 1
RSA
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
RSA
1 - 0
JUU
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 0
UNI
32%
27%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
CIP
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 2
DES
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
GIM
2 - 2
UNI
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
RAO
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |