Dep. Santamarina vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
51.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
RSA
2 - 1
DAL
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ALM
1 - 0
RSA
49%
28%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
RSA
1 - 3
SMA
18%
26%
57%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
INS
2 - 0
RSA
52%
25%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
GIM
1 - 0
RSA
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
GIM
1 - 3
SAR
23%
29%
48%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 0
ALB
73%
19%
9%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
RAF
1 - 1
SAR
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SAR
3 - 1
QUI
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
DEF
3 - 0
SAR
23%
28%
49%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |