Dep. Santamarina vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
44.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
QUI
0 - 0
RSA
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
RSA
0 - 0
IRV
32%
30%
38%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 0
RSA
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
RSA
2 - 0
CHA
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MIT
2 - 2
RSA
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 1
GIM
59%
24%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 0
SAR
13%
25%
62%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 0
ARS
40%
27%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
AGR
0 - 0
SAR
23%
27%
49%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 1
DAL
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |