Dep. Santamarina vs Racing Olavarría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 1
RSA
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
RSA
1 - 0
JUU
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ALV
2 - 0
RSA
30%
29%
41%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
MAI
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 1
RSA
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Olavarría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RAO
1 - 2
DFR
51%
26%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
RAO
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RAO
4 - 3
DES
27%
29%
44%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
GIM
3 - 2
RAO
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
RAO
2 - 0
CIP
27%
26%
48%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |