Primera Nacional Final
Global 3-3
Dep. Santamarina vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
FER
0 - 2
RSA
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
RSA
2 - 2
FER
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SPB
2 - 0
RSA
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
RSA
1 - 0
CSE
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GIM
1 - 1
RSA
33%
29%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
PAT
3 - 1
INS
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
PAT
41%
30%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PAT
2 - 1
PAR
65%
23%
12%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
PAT
20%
31%
49%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 0
IRV
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |