Dep. Santamarina vs Olimpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
53.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
7º
4º
69
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
58% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
42% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
SDM
1 - 1
RSA
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
RSA
3 - 0
GER
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CIP
2 - 1
RSA
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 1
VIL
32%
32%
36%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 1
RSA
25%
27%
48%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 2
VIL
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 3
OLI
12%
22%
66%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 0
SAN
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 2
OLI
13%
23%
65%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 0
SDM
75%
18%
7%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |