Dep. Santamarina vs CA Liniers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
7º
4º
24
2º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
58% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
42% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
RSA
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 0
RSA
22%
27%
51%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 1
OLI
20%
27%
53%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
SDM
1 - 1
RSA
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
RSA
3 - 0
GER
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CA Liniers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 2
VIL
16%
27%
57%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 1
SAN
28%
27%
45%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CDC
0 - 0
LIN
51%
25%
23%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 3
OLI
12%
22%
66%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SDM
3 - 0
LIN
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |