Dep. Santamarina vs CA Liniers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
21.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
7º
4º
24
2º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
58% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
42% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
RSA
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CDC
0 - 1
RSA
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
RSA
0 - 0
OLI
22%
27%
52%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
SDM
3 - 0
RSA
27%
26%
48%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 1
GER
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CA Liniers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 0
VIL
29%
30%
41%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CDC
3 - 0
LIN
25%
27%
48%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 2
OLI
19%
25%
56%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SDM
0 - 1
LIN
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |