Dep. Santamarina vs Kimberley Mar del Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
4º
22
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 25 |
4º
|
52% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CSS
2 - 0
RSA
15%
23%
62%
|
54 | 14 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
GER
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
RSA
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DHA
0 - 0
RSA
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RSA
3 - 0
CDC
63%
23%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Kimberley Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KIM
0 - 1
CDC
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SAU
0 - 0
KIM
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
KIM
2 - 0
CIP
27%
27%
46%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
DCM
0 - 0
KIM
47%
27%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
COB
0 - 1
KIM
33%
28%
40%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |