Dep. Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 1
CIP
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 0
RSA
25%
28%
47%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
UNI
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
RSA
1 - 1
DES
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
GIM
0 - 2
RSA
35%
29%
37%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
GBR
0 - 0
DFR
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
GBR
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
DES
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
GIM
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
RAO
2 - 1
GBR
17%
24%
59%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |