Dep. Santamarina vs Gimnasia Mendoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
53%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
STM
1 - 1
RSA
50%
26%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RSA
2 - 2
CFE
22%
30%
48%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SMA
4 - 0
RSA
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
RSA
1 - 2
ATL
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
RSA
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnasia Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GIM
1 - 1
RAF
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GBR
0 - 1
GIM
24%
30%
47%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GIM
2 - 1
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 2
GIM
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GIM
0 - 1
DEF
51%
27%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |