Dep. Santamarina vs Germinal de Rawson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
7º
4º
34
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
58% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
42% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CIP
2 - 1
RSA
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 1
VIL
32%
32%
36%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 1
RSA
25%
27%
48%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
RSA
0 - 0
SAN
52%
26%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
RSA
2 - 1
CDC
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Germinal de Rawson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
GER
0 - 1
VIL
20%
30%
49%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 3
GER
41%
27%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
GER
2 - 0
SAN
25%
28%
48%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CDC
3 - 3
GER
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GER
0 - 2
OLI
13%
23%
64%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |