Dep. Santamarina vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
23.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 2
RSA
39%
29%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
RSA
2 - 0
GBR
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BRO
2 - 0
RSA
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
RSA
1 - 2
BOC
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 2
RSA
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FER
1 - 2
IRV
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BUC
1 - 3
FER
46%
30%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FER
4 - 3
CCS
51%
28%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
FER
0 - 2
GIM
40%
31%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 3
FER
32%
31%
37%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |